Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.165902 0.187078 0.209362 0.234506 0.262033 0.291198 0.324378
2025-04-13 0.136773 0.165155 0.196631 0.233942 0.276769 0.324195 0.380484
2025-04-20 0.117623 0.150788 0.189272 0.236830 0.293598 0.358755 0.438734
2025-04-27 0.104711 0.141634 0.186235 0.243383 0.313917 0.397347 0.502650
2025-05-04 0.092043 0.131025 0.179925 0.244721 0.327166 0.427356 0.556976
2025-05-11 0.083253 0.124181 0.177311 0.249846 0.344643 0.462576 0.618415
2025-05-18 0.076513 0.119185 0.176353 0.256545 0.363887 0.500226 0.683763
2025-05-25 0.067911 0.110623 0.169715 0.254902 0.371681 0.523068 0.730589
2025-06-01 0.060939 0.103607 0.164467 0.254471 0.380607 0.547210 0.779375
2025-06-08 0.054770 0.097103 0.159300 0.253562 0.388453 0.569774 0.826351
2025-06-15 0.051083 0.094004 0.158732 0.258943 0.404955 0.604194 0.889815
2025-06-22 0.046455 0.088921 0.154741 0.258924 0.413559 0.627819 0.939044
2025-06-29 0.042007 0.083813 0.150487 0.258460 0.421780 0.651613 0.989915
2025-07-06 0.037977 0.078984 0.146265 0.257686 0.429346 0.674551 1.040090
2025-07-13 0.035138 0.075933 0.144626 0.260713 0.442534 0.705727 1.102512
2025-07-20 0.033317 0.074527 0.145547 0.267737 0.461901 0.746242 1.179102
2025-07-27 0.030670 0.071295 0.143122 0.269149 0.472578 0.774235 1.238278
2025-08-03 0.028943 0.069640 0.143252 0.274664 0.489714 0.812085 1.312493
2025-08-10 0.027617 0.068634 0.144418 0.281881 0.509683 0.854570 1.394335
2025-08-17 0.025092 0.064912 0.140430 0.280102 0.515112 0.875176 1.444253
2025-08-24 0.022985 0.061820 0.137344 0.279634 0.522514 0.898821 1.499046
2025-08-31 0.021007 0.058774 0.134098 0.278651 0.528921 0.920956 1.551900
2025-09-07 0.020003 0.057786 0.134687 0.284455 0.546688 0.961035 1.632596